NBA

How To Bet NBA MVP Props

NBA MVP props can be a very exciting and enticing betting option for someone who follows players closely – especially someone who take more of a microeconomic approach to betting as opposed to a macroeconomic approach. NBA props are typically bet on close to the start of the regular season but could also go on until close to the midway point of the regular season. In this article, we’ll provide you with some tips on how to bet on NBA MVP props.

Lone Superstar Or Sharing The Spotlight?

Simply put, a superstar can more easily impact his team at a high-level if he’s the only one on the team compared to having to share the superstar spotlight with other players. Examples that come to mind of lone superstars on teams include LeBron James (Cleveland Cavaliers) and Giannis Antetokounmpo (Milwaukee Bucks). On the other hand, it’s much more common (especially these days) for superstars to team up with other superstars to form super teams. Some examples include Stephen Curry and Kevin Durant (Golden State Warriors) and James Harden and Chris Paul (Houston Rockets). For picking a MVP winner near the start of the regular season, I’d focus on the player who has a much larger responsibility to truly carry his team.

Potential Record Of Team

When it comes to the MVP winner, his team is usually a championship contender (or close to it), looking to make some noise in the playoffs. It’s difficult to justify naming a player the MVP of the league when his team couldn’t even make the playoffs or has just barely scraped into the playoffs, albeit exceptional circumstances. As a result, team record will have a heavy impact on how serious a player’s MVP bid should be taken. No matter how amazing a player is performing, if his team still has a difficult time winning, the phrase “most valuable player” may not mean much.

Progression Of Player

When picking an MVP, it’s also important to analyze the progression of potential MVP candidates from past seasons to gain a better idea of how they’ll be likely to perform during the upcoming season. For example, if a relatively young player has already blossomed into a superstar, it may only take a year or two for this player to inch their way up into the conversation for top three players deserving of the MVP award. Similarly, if a team, led by a specific player, has been climbing the NBA ranks and is on the verge of having a breakout year, this specific player may gain a lot more recognition when it comes to the MVP conversation. In this case, a player’s history may be quite indicative of how he’ll be likely to perform during the upcoming season.

Other Motivations

A very clear example that comes to mind is during the 2016-2017 season surrounding Russell Westbrook and the Oklahoma City Thunder, after the departure of Kevin Durant. While this is not explicit, it’s only human nature for Westbrook’s motivation levels to rise. Indeed, this was quite evident as Westbrook went on a tear during the regular season while averaging a triple-double. Other examples of potential motivating factors may include the fact that a player who should have won the MVP last season but was snubbed being more motivated to prove everyone wrong during the upcoming regular season. Alternatively, a player leaving his previous team to join a better team may be more motivated to prove his haters wrong.

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