While NFL teasers have become a lot more popular in recent years, there aren’t nearly as many people betting on college football teasers these days. Whether it’s the relative betting popularity of the two different sports in general or a lack of awareness, we decided to take a closer look at betting on NCAA teasers and how to gain an edge with these types of wagers. Here is a look at the keys to sports betting and NCAA football teasers
Basic Strategy Explained
One reason why the NCAA teasers likely aren’t as popular as NFL teasers is that the general strategies for the NFL bets don’t really work for the college game. While the main strategy behind sports betting and NFL teasers is to place teasers that go from a loss to a win on point spreads of three to seven at the best odds possible, that strategy doesn’t hold up when betting on the college game. With college football, the required margin of victory happens less frequently than in the NFL. For example, in a period between 2007 and 2012, 14.8% of NFL games finished with exactly a three-point margin compared to only 9.84% of college football games. 9.8% of NFL games finished with exactly a seven-point margin while 7.42% of college football games finished with that margin. Finally, 38.8% of NFL games over that span finished with between a 3 and 7 point margin compared to just 27.1% in college football. The difference in these numbers changes the basic strategy of college football teasers in comparison with the NFL teasers.
Adjusting Your Approach
While the basic NFL teaser strategy can’t apply to the college football games, you could adjust your approach based on what you do know. There are plenty of different strategies online that might be worth reading but it’s important to remember that there is no such thing as a guaranteed winning approach. The smart approach is to find value based on your perception of the lines and attempt to exploit it by teasing those lines in your favor. For example, if Auburn is listed at +7.5 against Alabama but you think they can win that game straight up then you could tease the line to Auburn +4.5 in order to gain value. If you think the Tigers are a lock to cover but you aren’t as confident about them winning straight up, then you could tease the line up to +10.5 in order to create a bigger buffer to improve your chances of covering. There is no way to guarantee you will win your wagers but by understanding value you could significantly improve your chances to win.
While there is plenty of additional information online and discussion about the best ways to approach college football lines, it’s definitely important to understand the differences between betting on college and the NFL. The best handicappers in the world are able to break down the numbers and find value in different areas and if you take the time to understand the sport and how to use teasers then you could do the same. There is no way to guarantee you will win your NCAAF teasers but by following the adjusted strategy tis we listed above you could greatly improve your chances of making a profit over time.