NCAAF

The Lowest College Football Regular Season Win Totals On The Board For 2020

There are a lot of 3.5's. Will anyone go over?


The next college football season involves a lot of very low over-under win totals for Football Bowl Subdivision teams. Among the teams in the Power Five conferences (SEC, ACC, Pac-12, Big 12, Big Ten), these are the four lowest win totals on the board.

Kansas Jayhawks
Regular Season Win Total: 3.5

The Jayhawks should be able to beat New Hampshire and Coastal Carolina, but after that, it gets very rugged and daunting for Les Miles’ team, which has to build up its roster and recruit at a noticeably higher level. Kansas will probably have a chance at beating Boston College. The Jayhawks did thump the Eagles last season, so a rematch could work in their favor. However, Boston College has a new head coach, Jeff Hafley, who was an assistant at Ohio State last season. If Hafley is as good as his credentials suggest he is, Kansas will be in trouble in that game. In the Big 12, Kansas will not be favored to win a single game. The home game against Oklahoma State offers a possible upset opportunity. The same is true for home games against Iowa State and TCU. However, all three of those teams have quality head coaches and should be at least as good this upcoming season as they were this past season. Oklahoma State, Iowa State, and TCU are not likely to regress, making Kansas’s challenge more pronounced.

Colorado Buffaloes
Regular Season Win Total: 3.5

The Buffaloes don’t have a single obvious win on their schedule. They should be able to find a few wins, but they won’t come easily. The opener against Colorado State is a 50-50 game, a reasonable win opportunity. The second game against Fresno State fits in a similar category. If the Buffaloes can win one of those two, they probably will take it. Their nine-game Pac-12 schedule is hard to peg. There are no layups on the slate, but certainly some winnable games, featured by a road trip to Arizona and home games against UCLA and Arizona State. In order to win four games, Colorado would probably need to win four of those five games just mentioned: Colorado State, Fresno State, Arizona, UCLA, Arizona State. That’s unlikely. If CU is to have another path to four wins, a home upset of Washington State is the other reasonable possibility.

Arkansas Razorbacks
Regular Season Win Total: 3.5

The Razorbacks bottomed out last year, and are in the middle of a full rebuilding project under new head coach Sam Pittman. They should win against Charleston Southern and Louisiana-Monroe. Nevada is a 50-50 game. The other nine games are going to be hard to win. Arkansas is the worst team in the SEC other than Vanderbilt, and the Razorbacks don’t play the Commodores this season. Another 0-8 SEC record is very possible.

Vanderbilt Commodores
Regular Season Win Total: 3.5

The Commodores have a coach, Derek Mason, who is under a lot of pressure to win, given how long he has been on the job without substantial results. This could be Mason’s finale, given the difficulty of the SEC schedule plus the challenge of non-conference games against Kansas State and Louisiana Tech. The Commodores should beat Mercer and Colorado State. That’s two wins… and it will be a challenge for them to find a lot of other wins on the schedule. The Louisiana Tech game is a possible win, but not a likely one. Louisiana Tech has been a solid Conference USA team for most of the past several seasons. The Commodores’ best chance at a victory within the SEC is probably a home game against Ole Miss, but that game will probably be a challenge for Vanderbilt. The road to four wins will be steep.

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