The San Francisco 49ers have been one of the league’s most dominant team’s from start to finish this season. Despite finishing as the NFC’s top seed at 13-3, then beating the Minnesota Vikings and Green Bay Packers handily in the postseason, San Francisco still isn’t getting much respect heading in to the Super Bowl. The 49ers are listed as one-point underdogs heading in to their matchup with the Kansas City Chiefs at Super Bowl 54. Essentially a pick’em, does San Francisco have enough ammunition left to tank down the AFC champion Chiefs?
Or will Kansas City finish what it started when it fell two wins short of a Super Bowl a year ago and take down the 49ers to help head coach Andy Reid his first ring? If the first few playoff rounds are any indication, this should be an absolutely epic Super Bowl with plenty of scoring, lead changes and epic individual performances. We decided to put together the perfect teaser combination, getting seven points on both the sides and the total. Here is a look at the optimal teaser ticket for Super Bowl 54.
Super Bowl 54: San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Date: Sunday February 2nd, 2020 – 6:30 PM ET
Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida
Line: Kansas City -1
The best part about San Francisco being listed as a one-point underdog for this matchup is that it gives us that additional point on the teaser betting on a team we think will win the game outright anyways. Applying the seven-point tease moves the 49ers from +1 to +8 for Super Bowl 54. San Francisco has no issues at all rolling over both the Vikings and Packers in the NFC playoffs. The fact that the 49ers were able to put up 37 points and win by 17 over Green Bay in a game in which Jimmy Garoppolo had only eight pass attempts is absolutely insane. Raheem Mostert stepped up with 220 rushing yards and four touchdowns in the victory. Those totals marked single-game conference championship records for both rushing yards and touchdowns. Can Mostert put up similar numbers against Kansas City in the Super Bowl?
While the Chiefs defense has played better in the postseason, they could still be vulnerable against the run. Kansas City managed to hold Derrick Henry to just 69 yards and a touchdown on 19 carries. However, that was with Ryan Tannehill looking very ordinary in the pocket, allowing the Chiefs defense to put eight in the box and attack him downhill. Kansas City won’t have that option against Garoppolo. With George Kittle, Emmanuel Sanders, Deebo Samuel and Kendrick Bourne all performing at a high level, the 49ers still have the ability to exploit the Chiefs defense over the top if they have to open things up.
The key to this game will likely be the San Francisco defensive line up against the Kansas City offense. Patrick Mahomes was able to put up over 300 total yards and four total touchdowns in a 35-24 win over the Tennessee Titans in the AFC Championship Game. With Nick Bosa, Arik Armstead and others getting after him, Mahomes could have a much tougher time moving the football downfield. The 49ers got to Aaron Rodgers three times and forced three interceptions in their NFC Championship Game win. Rather than just trying to slow Mahomes down, look for San Francisco’s defense to go on the attack and try to force the Chiefs defense in to making mistakes.
After winning 15 of their 18 games including playoffs, the 49ers could very well be primed to add to their Super Bowl collection. San Francisco has an excellent opportunity to win this game outright. The idea that we can add seven points to their line at +1 with the teaser and move them all the way to +8, the odds are too good to pass on. Even if Kansas City finds a way to win this game, the 49ers should keep it close. The smart money is on San Francisco to cover on the teaser at +8.
Andy Reid and Kyle Shanahan are both understood to be offensive geniuses. In addition to their leadership and play designs, they have also put together two of the most talented rosters in the NFL. In terms of the total for this game, all indications are that we will see another high scoring game. The 49ers and Chiefs ranked second and third in the NFL in points per game this season and that was with some key pieces on both teams missing some time, including Mahomes in particular. Kansas City is the more explosive offense. The Chiefs have proved again and again in these playoffs that they can put up big numbers in a short amount of time. While San Francisco has been more methodical in its approach, it can still put up big numbers in short order, which it proved by averaging a combined 32.0 points in wins over Minnesota and Green Bay.
As long as both teams come even close to matching their season totals, this game should go well over the listed total of 54 points. With the seven points that we get on the teaser, we can actually push the total all the way down to 47. In two playoff games, the 49ers and their opponents have combined to average 47.0 points per game. In their two playoff games, the Chiefs and their opponents have combined to average 70.0 points per game. Regardless of which team wins, we should see a ton of scoring in this matchup. Both coaches will try to be aggressive from the outset in a bid to try to get in front early and then play with a lead. All signs point towards taking the Over at 47 points. Pair that Over 47 points with San Francisco at +8 for the perfect Super Bowl 54 teaser ticket.
Picks: San Francisco +8 over Kansas City, Over 47