NFL

Top 10 Prop Bets For Super Bowl LIV

Here are 10 good Super Bowl prop bets that might offer some value.


It’s one of the most wonderful times of the year for football fans that like betting NFL props and futures. The Super Bowl is unlike any other major sporting event, with seemingly countless different types of prop bets available for the game. We took the time to identify the best prop bets on the board for Super Bowl 54. If you are interested in winning some money while enjoying the game, then these are the wagers you should strongly consider playing. Here is a look at the top 10 Super Bowl props that you should consider putting some money down on.

Will There Be A 2-Point Conversion Attempt? Yes +140

One of our favorite bets on the board is whether there will be a two-point conversion attempt by either team at any point in this game. There is no denying that more and more head coaches have decided to go for two more often this season than in past years. Kyle Shanahan and Andy Reid are two excellent offensive minds that should have something planned for the biggest stage of them all. In a game that could very well turn out to be a shootout, there is a very good chance we will see at least one two-point conversion attempt. The fact that this bet is available at plus-money seems silly. Take the YES option here at +140.

Jimmy Garoppolo – Over 18.5 Completions -125

There is no doubt that the 49ers offense runs through its rushing attack. However, that doesn’t mean we should just write off a passing attack that has the potential to be pretty potent if it needs to be. Garoppolo completed just 17 passes combined in playoff wins over the Minnesota Vikings and Green Bay Packers. Still, he topped 19 completions eight times this season and hit exactly 18 completions three different times.

Patrick Mahomes – Over 35.5 Pass Attempts -125

While the San Francisco defense has the talent to slow down Mahomes a little that will only mean that he needs to pass more throughout the game. Mahomes has attempted exactly 35 passes in each of the Chiefs two playoff wins. Again a much better defense than he has faced so far this season, he should throw even more. If Kansas City is going to have any shot in this game, Mahomes is going to have to throw a lot. The smart money is on the over here.

Alex Ovechkin Shots On Goal over Patrick Mahomes TD Passes -170

One of the best parts about the Super Bowl is the crossover wagers that involve multiple sports. On Super Bowl Sunday, Alex Ovechkin and the Washington Capitals will face the Pittsburgh Penguins. Ovechkin, who is averaging just over 4.5 shots per game this year, should at the very least come close to that average against the rival Penguins. That would mean Mahomes would have to throw more than four touchdown passes just to have a shot against Ovechkin, which is unlikely. While Mahomes is capable of brilliance, the smart money is on Ovechkin in this spot.

Chiefs RB Damien Williams – Under 21.5 Receiving Yards

The 49ers have one of the best defenses in the NFL. All year, San Francisco has done an excellent job of limiting what opposing running backs have been able to do in the passing game. That should continue against the Chiefs. For his part, Williams has averaged 3.5 catches for 30.5 yards per game in these playoffs. However, with the 49ers bearing down near the line of scrimmage and making sure they key in on any pass pays out of the backfield, Williams could have a hard time topping 21 receiving yards in the Super Bowl.

Will There Be A Score In The First 6.5 Minutes? Yes -110

We have already seen Kansas City score 28 straight points in a single quarter in these playoffs. For as impressive as the Chiefs offense has been in the postseason, San Francisco’s offense actually finished with the higher points per game of the two during the regular season. Both teams are loaded with legitimate weapons on offense that can score on any given play. At the same time, both defenses have shown the ability to force turnovers and create points on their own. It should seem obvious but the smart money is on there being a score in the first 6.5 minutes of this contest.

Highest Combined Point Total In A Quarter – Over 21 +120

Since we already know that these teams can score points in bunches, we are willing to take a shot on betting the over in the highest combined point total for a quarter prop. These teams can easily top 21 points in one frame. Even if they hit 21 in one quarter, it would make for a push. This is a safe prop bet that makes a lot of sense based on what we know about the scoring potential of both teams.

Total Score – Under 54.5

This wager might seem contradictory based on everything that we just told explained with the previous two wagers but it isn’t. Even if there is a field goal in the first 6.5 minutes and even if these teams combined for 21 points or more in a quarter, that doesn’t mean they will be able to keep it up for a full four quarters. The 49ers defense has the ability to at least slow down Mahomes. Meanwhile, San Francisco relies heavily on the ground game, which will take up a lot of clock. These teams are capable of going off in any given quarter. Still, it makes sense to lean to the under when it comes to the full game total.

Super Bowl MVP – Raheem Mostert +450

In most cases, the Super Bowl MVP usually goes to the quarterback of the winning team. However, the 49ers rely more on their running back than any other position on offense. With Tevin Coleman sidelined, Mostert should see another heavy workload in this matchup. Coleman set a conference championship record with 220 rushing yards and four touchdowns in San Francisco’s 37-20 win over the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Championship Game. If you are willing to take a chance on sleeper pick to win MVP, Mostert is an excellent value at +450 odds.

Raheem Mostert – Over 69.5 Rushing Yards

We can’t claim Mostert as a legitimate sleeper pick to win Super Bowl MVP without taking the over on his rushing yards total at 69.5 Mostert might not rush for 220 the way that he did against the Packers. However, he should have no problem challenging for at least 100 rushing yards or more against a suspect Chiefs run defense. Again, we aren’t expecting him to hit 220 again like it’s nothing. However, this line is far too low for a playoff that just dominated in the NFC Championship Game and will be leaned on heavily again in the Super Bowl.

 

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